Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 5696
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Tomorrow
YX 5696 · LGA → IND
departs 7:55 PM ET · arrives 10:33 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 3:00 PM ET · 29h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 23%
Tue 10/6 4%
Wed 10/7 5%
Thu 10/8 7%
Fri 10/9 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at IND more than 15 minutes late?
40%
chance · ±4 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
40%
Leave 15+ late
43%
Arrive 1h+ late
23%
Cancelled
4%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IND more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Leave LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Arrive at IND more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to IND?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
LGA is prone to delays
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at LGA that day
↑
7pm departures from LGA are often late
↓
Other factors
↓
YX's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
LGA (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.15 in
IND (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.