Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 5746
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
YX 5746 · LGA → BOS
departs 6:59 PM ET · arrives 8:45 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 AM ET · 63h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 50%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 37%
Tue 10/6 26%
Wed 10/7 40%
Thu 10/8 37%
Odds over time
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
28%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
5.9d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed – in 24h
–
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed – in 24h
–
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at BOS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to BOS?
On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
21%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
6pm departures from LGA are often late
↑
This flight has been late 41% of the time recently
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Other factors
↓
YX's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
LGA (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.06 in
BOS (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 1,000 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.