YX 5821 · SYR → LGA

departs 12:08 PM ET · arrives 1:31 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 9:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±0 pts +19 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to LGA?

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA

↑ LGA is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SYR

↓ YX's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

SYR (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LGA (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.23 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 5821 · SYR → LGA

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGA?