Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ENDEAVOR · FLIGHT 9E 4688 LANDED 12:13 PM CT, ~3 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

9E 4688 · DTW → MDW

took off 12:25 PM ET · landed 12:13 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?

12% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ 12pm departures from DTW are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↓ 9E's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MDW

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MDW (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9E 4688 · DTW → MDW

Odds over time