Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ENDEAVOR · FLIGHT 9E 4707 LANDED 2:02 PM ET, ~10 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

9E 4707 · SGF → ATL

took off 11:46 AM CT · landed 2:02 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 9h after departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at ATL that day

↑ Other factors

↑ Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SGF

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SGF (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ATL (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9E 4707 · SGF → ATL

Odds over time