Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ENDEAVOR · FLIGHT 9E 4902 LANDED 7:52 PM CT, ~12 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

9E 4902 · LGA → LIT

took off 6:16 PM ET · landed 7:52 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 9:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at LIT more than 15 minutes late?

54% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 32 kt, cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at LGA that day

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↑ 6pm departures from LGA are often late

↓ 9E's recent on-time record

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts32 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LIT (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9E 4902 · LGA → LIT

Odds over time