Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ENDEAVOR · FLIGHT 9E 4903 IN THE AIR (OFF 11:29 AM CT, ETA 2:51 PM ET) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

9E 4903 · MEM → LGA

took off 11:29 AM CT · expected to land 2:51 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 1:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

32% chance · ±9 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late

↓ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at LGA that day

↓ 9E's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

MEM (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LGA (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9E 4903 · MEM → LGA

Odds over time