9E 4961 · LGA → CVG

departs 1:52 PM ET · arrives 3:59 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 9:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to CVG?

On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↑ 4pm departures from LGA are often late

↑ Other factors

↓ 9E's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CVG

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts32 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CVG (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9E 4961 · LGA → CVG

Odds over time

How late will it get to CVG?