9E 5003 · LGA → TYS

departs 7:10 PM ET · arrives 9:17 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 6:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at TYS more than 15 minutes late?

96% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to TYS?

On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 32 kt, cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at LGA that day

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↑ 7pm departures from LGA are often late

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ TYS usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts32 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

TYS (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling3,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9E 5003 · LGA → TYS

Odds over time

How late will it get to TYS?