Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ENDEAVOR · FLIGHT 9E 5010 LANDED 3:58 PM ET, ~1 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

9E 5010 · LGA → BGR

took off 3:09 PM ET · landed 3:58 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 3:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at BGR more than 15 minutes late?

50% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 3pm departures from LGA are often late

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↑ Other factors

↓ 9E's recent on-time record

↓ BGR usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts28 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BGR (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.05 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9E 5010 · LGA → BGR

Odds over time