Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ENDEAVOR · FLIGHT 9E 5021 LANDED 2:07 PM CT, ~9 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

9E 5021 · DTW → HSV

took off 1:47 PM ET · landed 2:07 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 1:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at HSV more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1pm departures from DTW are often late

↑ DTW is busy at that time

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW

↓ 9E's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

HSV (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling2,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9E 5021 · DTW → HSV

Odds over time