Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ENDEAVOR · FLIGHT 9E 5028 LANDED 2:36 PM ET, ~9 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

9E 5028 · JFK → RDU

took off 1:22 PM ET · landed 2:36 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 7:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ 1pm departures from JFK are often late

↑ JFK is busy at that time

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ 9E's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

JFK (origin) Gusts31 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.01 in

RDU (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9E 5028 · JFK → RDU

Odds over time