9E 5040 · LGA → HSV

departs 8:30 PM ET · arrives 10:02 PM CT

Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at HSV more than 15 minutes late?

58% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to HSV?

On time or early
42%
15–30 min late
30%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
21%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↑ 8pm departures from LGA are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ 9E's recent on-time record

↓ HSV usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts28 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

HSV (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling2,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9E 5040 · LGA → HSV

Odds over time

How late will it get to HSV?