Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ENDEAVOR · FLIGHT 9E 5085 LANDED 1:43 PM ET, ~5 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

9E 5085 · DTW → SDF

took off 12:55 PM ET · landed 1:43 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 5:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at SDF more than 15 minutes late?

12% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ DTW is busy at that time

↑ 1pm departures from DTW are often late

↓ 9E's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SDF (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9E 5085 · DTW → SDF

Odds over time