Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ENDEAVOR · FLIGHT 9E 5102 IN THE AIR (OFF 2:03 PM ET, ETA 3:38 PM CT) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

9E 5102 · LGA → OMA

took off 2:03 PM ET · expected to land 3:38 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 1:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at OMA more than 15 minutes late?

39% chance · ±6 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1pm departures from LGA are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↓ 9E's recent on-time record

↓ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at LGA that day

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

OMA (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9E 5102 · LGA → OMA

Odds over time