Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ENDEAVOR · FLIGHT 9E 5144 LANDED 7:59 PM ET, ~18 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

9E 5144 · DSM → DTW

took off 5:42 PM CT · landed 7:59 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 9:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into DTW at that hour are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DSM

↓ 9E's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

DSM (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility6 mi Precipnone

DTW (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9E 5144 · DSM → DTW

Odds over time