Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ENDEAVOR · FLIGHT 9E 5156 LANDED 3:50 PM ET, ~8 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

9E 5156 · PNS → LGA

took off 12:42 PM CT · landed 3:50 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 9:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

43% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 3.2 in of rain forecast at PNS that day

↑ LGA is busy at that time

↓ PNS usually runs smoothly

↓ 9E's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

PNS (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip2.65 in

LGA (destination) Gusts32 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9E 5156 · PNS → LGA

Odds over time