Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ENDEAVOR · FLIGHT 9E 5186 LANDED 4:25 PM ET, ~13 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

9E 5186 · ILM → LGA

took off 3:12 PM ET · landed 4:25 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 6:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

73% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↑ Other factors

↑ Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late

↓ 9E's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

ILM (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.09 in

LGA (destination) Gusts32 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9E 5186 · ILM → LGA

Odds over time