Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ENDEAVOR · FLIGHT 9E 5186 LANDED 1:09 PM ET, ~13 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

9E 5186 · LGA → ILM

took off 11:44 AM ET · landed 1:09 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 6:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at ILM more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

No breakdown for this forecast yet.

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts32 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ILM (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.09 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9E 5186 · LGA → ILM

Odds over time