Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ENDEAVOR · FLIGHT 9E 5200 IN THE AIR (OFF 1:43 PM ET, ETA 3:23 PM ET) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

9E 5200 · JFK → CHS

took off 1:43 PM ET · expected to land 3:23 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 1:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at CHS more than 15 minutes late?

23% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1pm departures from JFK are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ JFK is busy at that time

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ 9E's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

JFK (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.01 in

CHS (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1 mi Precip1.28 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9E 5200 · JFK → CHS

Odds over time