9E 5231 · HSV → ATL

departs 2:53 PM CT · arrives 5:00 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 2:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

48% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to ATL?

On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at ATL that day

↑ Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late

↑ ATL is busy at that time

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ ATL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

HSV (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling2,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ATL (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9E 5231 · HSV → ATL

Odds over time

How late will it get to ATL?