Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ENDEAVOR · FLIGHT 9E 5329 LANDED 1:12 PM ET, ~12 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

9E 5329 · LGA → ORF

took off 12:17 PM ET · landed 1:12 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 3:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at ORF more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 12pm departures from LGA are often late

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at LGA that day

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts28 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ORF (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9E 5329 · LGA → ORF

Odds over time