Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ENDEAVOR · FLIGHT 9E 5362 LANDED 12:59 PM ET, ~7 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

9E 5362 · LGA → BUF

took off 12:06 PM ET · landed 12:59 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 9:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at BUF more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ 12pm departures from LGA are often late

↑ Other factors

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at LGA that day

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts32 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BUF (destination) Gusts31 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9E 5362 · LGA → BUF

Odds over time