9E 5386 · DTW → HSV

departs 8:32 PM ET · arrives 9:28 PM CT

Forecast issued Mon 3:00 PM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at HSV more than 15 minutes late?

12% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to HSV?

On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 8pm departures from DTW are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into HSV at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW

↓ 9E's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

HSV (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling2,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9E 5386 · DTW → HSV

Odds over time

How late will it get to HSV?