Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ENDEAVOR · FLIGHT 9E 5397 LANDED 7:38 PM ET, ~3 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

9E 5397 · DTW → BUF

took off 6:55 PM ET · landed 7:38 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 9:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at BUF more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 6pm departures from DTW are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ 9E's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BUF (destination) Gusts31 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9E 5397 · DTW → BUF

Odds over time