9E 5398 · LGA → SAV

took off 7:49 PM ET · expected to land 9:29 PM ET (scheduled 7:38 PM ET → 9:50 PM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 6:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at SAV more than 15 minutes late?

<1% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SAV?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 32 kt, cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at LGA that day

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↑ 7pm departures from LGA are often late

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ 9E's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts32 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SAV (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.51 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9E 5398 · LGA → SAV

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAV?