Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ENDEAVOR · FLIGHT 9E 5415 IN THE AIR (OFF 12:34 PM CT, ETA 3:52 PM ET) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

9E 5415 · OMA → LGA

took off 12:34 PM CT · expected to land 3:52 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at OMA

↓ OMA usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

OMA (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LGA (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9E 5415 · OMA → LGA

Odds over time