Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ENDEAVOR · FLIGHT 9E 5424 LANDED 3:38 PM ET, ~13 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

9E 5424 · LGA → ORH

took off 3:02 PM ET · landed 3:38 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at ORH more than 15 minutes late?

39% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 3pm departures from LGA are often late

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↑ LGA is busy at that time

↓ 9E's recent on-time record

↓ ORH usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts32 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ORH (destination) Gusts35 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9E 5424 · LGA → ORH

Odds over time