9E 5524 · LGA → SYR

departs 10:11 PM ET · arrives 11:24 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 5:00 PM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at SYR more than 15 minutes late?

52% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SYR?

On time or early
48%
15–30 min late
25%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
21%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↑ 10pm departures from LGA are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ 9E's recent on-time record

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts32 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SYR (destination) Gusts35 kt Ceiling2,300 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9E 5524 · LGA → SYR

Odds over time

How late will it get to SYR?