Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHERN AIRWAYS EXPRESS · FLIGHT 9X 2053 LANDED 6:59 AM HT, ~2 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

9X 2053 · OGG → LNY

took off 6:43 AM HT · landed 6:59 AM HT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 7:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at LNY more than 15 minutes late?

7% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Other factors

↓ 6am departures from OGG are usually not late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

OGG (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling4,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LNY (destination) Gusts27 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9X 2053 · OGG → LNY

Odds over time