9X 546 · HNL → MKK

took off 2:04 PM HT · landed 2:23 PM HT (scheduled 2:02 PM HT → 2:55 PM HT)

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at MKK more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to MKK?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ HNL is prone to delays

↑ 2pm departures from HNL are often late

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Arrivals into MKK at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

HNL (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling4,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

MKK (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9X 546 · HNL → MKK

Odds over time

How late did it get to MKK?