Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHERN AIRWAYS EXPRESS · FLIGHT 9X 578 LANDED 7:22 AM HT, ~11 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

9X 578 · HNL → MKK

took off 6:59 AM HT · landed 7:22 AM HT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 5:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at MKK more than 15 minutes late?

12% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

No breakdown for this forecast yet.

Weather at each end

HNL (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling4,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

MKK (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9X 578 · HNL → MKK

Odds over time