Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHERN AIRWAYS EXPRESS · FLIGHT 9X 629 LANDED 6:44 AM HT, ~11 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

9X 629 · MKK → HNL

took off 6:23 AM HT · landed 6:44 AM HT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ HNL is prone to delays

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at MKK

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into HNL at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

MKK (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

HNL (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling4,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9X 629 · MKK → HNL

Odds over time