9X 706 · HNL → LNY

took off 12:37 PM HT · landed 1:01 PM HT (scheduled 12:24 PM HT → 1:23 PM HT)

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at LNY more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to LNY?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 12pm departures from HNL are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ HNL is prone to delays

↓ Arrivals into LNY at that hour are usually not late

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

HNL (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling4,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

LNY (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9X 706 · HNL → LNY

Odds over time

How late did it get to LNY?