Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHERN AIRWAYS EXPRESS · FLIGHT 9X 731 LANDED 6:00 PM HT, ~12 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

9X 731 · MKK → OGG

took off 5:37 PM HT · landed 6:00 PM HT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at OGG more than 15 minutes late?

29% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OGG is prone to delays

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This route's recent record

↓ 5pm departures from MKK are usually not late

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MKK (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

OGG (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling4,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9X 731 · MKK → OGG

Odds over time