AA 1141 · LAX → ATL

departs 9:34 AM PT · arrives 5:02 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 3:00 PM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ATL?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 32% of the time recently

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ATL (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.14 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1141 · LAX → ATL

Odds over time

How late will it get to ATL?