Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1193 LANDED 2:06 AM ET, ~8 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Yesterday

AA 1193 · PHL → CHS

took off 12:46 AM ET · landed 2:06 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 21h after departure

Arrive at CHS more than 15 minutes late?

27% chance · ±0 pts −15 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.8 in of rain forecast at CHS that day

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Other factors

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ CHS usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts26 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precipnone

CHS (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1 mi Precip1.28 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1193 · PHL → CHS

Odds over time