tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: FAA flight plans.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1405 IN THE AIR (OFF 5:16 PM ET, ETA 6:20 PM ET)
Today

AA 1405 · PHL → CMH

took off 5:16 PM ET · expected to land 6:20 PM ET (scheduled 4:49 PM ET → 6:37 PM ET)
Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 1h before departure
Arrive at CMH more than 15 minutes late?
<1% chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 1.0d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to CMH?

LIVE
  1. On time or early
    99%
  2. 15–30 min late
    <1%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    0%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    0%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.