Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1830 IN THE AIR (OFF 8:32 AM ET, ETA 10:42 AM CT) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

AA 1830 · PHL → DFW

took off 8:32 AM ET · expected to land 10:42 AM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↑ PHL is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precipnone

DFW (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1830 · PHL → DFW

Odds over time