Schedule: FAA flight plans.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1861
SCHEDULED
Today
AA 1861 · ORD → SAN
departs 7:06 PM CT · arrives 9:46 PM PT
Forecast issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · 20h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±3 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
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How late will it get to SAN?
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On time or early
68%
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15–30 min late
13%
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30 min–1 hour late
10%
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1–2 hours late
5%
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Over 2 hours late
3%
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Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.