tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1878 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 1878 · DFW → FSD

departs 2:46 PM CT · arrives 4:54 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 7:00 AM ET · 57h before departure
Arrive at FSD more than 15 minutes late?
33% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.7d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to FSD?

  1. On time or early
    66%
  2. 15–30 min late
    17%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    5%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    7%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.