Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1928SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 1928 · MCO → LAX
departs 7:12 AM ET · arrives 9:25 AM PT
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 60h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
15%chance · ±2 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.