Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2019 LANDED 1:27 PM MT, ~6 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Yesterday

AA 2019 · DFW → BOI

took off 11:38 AM CT · landed 1:27 PM MT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 9h after departure

Arrive at BOI more than 15 minutes late?

27% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 20% of the time recently

↑ 11am departures from DFW are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BOI (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2019 · DFW → BOI

Odds over time