AA 2056 · DFW → TUL

departs 2:12 PM CT · arrives 3:29 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · 23h before departure

Arrive at TUL more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to TUL?

On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 2pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ This flight has been late 34% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at TUL

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

TUL (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2056 · DFW → TUL

Odds over time

How late will it get to TUL?