Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2066 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 5

AA 2066 · MCO → ORD

departs 3:10 PM ET · arrives 5:28 PM CT

Forecast issued Fri 11:00 PM ET · 64h before departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±8 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ORD?

On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.5 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MCO that day

↑ 3pm departures from MCO are often late

↑ This flight has been late 41% of the time recently

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling4,600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.47 in

ORD (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2066 · MCO → ORD

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORD?