Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2069 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 5 Tomorrow

AA 2069 · MCO → LGA

departs 6:42 PM ET · arrives 9:29 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 1:00 PM ET · 30h before departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

68% chance · ±10 pts +12 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LGA?

On time or early
31%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
30%
1–2 hours late
21%
Over 2 hours late
11%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MCO that day

↑ Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 56% of the time recently

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.27 in

LGA (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling4,667 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2069 · MCO → LGA

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGA?