Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2276 LANDED 10:36 PM ET, ~3 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

AA 2276 · CHS → PHL

took off 9:14 PM ET · landed 10:36 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 9:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Other factors

↑ 9pm departures from CHS are often late

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Gusts to 26 kt, cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 1.5 mi forecast at PHL that day

Weather at each end

CHS (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1 mi Precip1.28 in

PHL (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2276 · CHS → PHL

Odds over time