Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2324 LANDED 10:35 AM CT, ~8 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

AA 2324 · PHL → MSY

took off 8:57 AM ET · landed 10:35 AM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±0 pts +10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Cloud base down to 900 ft forecast at MSY that day

↑ PHL is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precipnone

MSY (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling1,000 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.08 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2324 · PHL → MSY

Odds over time