Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2398 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

AA 2398 · DFW → ATL

departs 1:46 PM CT · arrives 4:25 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

54% chance · ±0 pts +28 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late

↑ 1pm departures from DFW are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ATL (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip0.05 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2398 · DFW → ATL

Odds over time