Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2630 LANDED 3:32 AM MT, ~10 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

AA 2630 · PHL → SLC

took off 1:01 AM ET · landed 3:32 AM MT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 5:00 AM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 32% of the time recently

↑ PHL is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SLC

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precipnone

SLC (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2630 · PHL → SLC

Odds over time